How betting odds work: what they are and how to use them
How betting odds work: what they are and how to use them
You can check the opening odds of each bookmaker, follow the odds movement over time and compare it with the current odds, so you know how the market has reacted before you decide when to bet. Odds change constantly between the moment a market opens and kick-off, and OddsPortal works as an odds tracker for every match. The same selection is priced differently by each bookmaker, so comparing bookmaker odds is the simplest way to make sure a winning bet pays out as much as possible.
The issue with betting odds is that they’re always tipped in the bookmakers’ favour to allow them to make a profit. Because of the many factors involved, it is impossible to calculate exact probability in sports betting. In betting terms, probability is odds expressed as a percentage. Moneyline odds use $100 as the evens line, with either positive or negative outcomes. If you’d like a bit more guidance, we have a full guide on how fractional odds work in betting. You may also see odds expressed with the lowest number first e.g. 1/2 or 2/7.
Favoured by bookmakers in the United Kingdom and Ireland, and also common in horse racing, fractional odds quote the net profit that will be paid out to the bettor, should they win, relative to the stake. That value may be regarded as the relative probability the event will happen, expressed as a fraction (if it is less than 1), or a multiple (if it is equal to or greater than one) of the likelihood that the event will not happen. The odds are a ratio of probabilities; an odds ratio is a ratio of odds, that is, a ratio of ratios of probabilities. In probability theory and statistics, odds and similar ratios may be more natural or more convenient than probabilities. Odds can also be expressed as a number, by dividing the terms in the ratio—in this case it is unique (different fractions can represent the same rational number).
However, if the teams are evenly matched, both teams can have a negative line at the same time (e.g. −110 −110 or −105 −115), due to house take. The use of odds in gambling facilitates betting on events where the probabilities of different outcomes vary. However, in more variable situations, such as a multi-runner horse race or a football match between two unequally matched teams, betting “at odds” provides the possibility to take the respective likelihoods of the possible outcomes into account. Similarly, fair betting odds can be expressed as “(1−p)/p to 1”, “1/p for 1”, “+100(1−p)/p”, “−100p/(1−p)”, “D−N to N”, “D for N”, “+100(D−N)/N”, or “−100N/(D−N)”.
Once you understand betting odds and the differences between them, reading them becomes easy. Fractions were traditionally used to bet on horse racing and were most popular in high street betting shops in the UK, before the advent of internet gambling. Betting odds are usually expressed either as fractions (e.g. ‘3/1’) or as decimals (e.g. 4.0). All of these have different possibilities, probabilities, chances – or odds – of happening. They give you a quick indication of how much you could expect to win if your bet wins.
Making a profit in gambling involves predicting the relationship of the true probabilities to the payout odds. The numerator and denominator of fractional odds are often integers, thus if the bookmaker’s payout was to be £1.25 profit for every £1 stake, this would be equivalent to £5 profit for every £4 staked, and the odds would therefore be expressed as 5/4. Before you rely on one, check how many bookmakers it covers, how quickly the prices are refreshed, whether it shows markets beyond the match result and whether it keeps the history of every price move. If you are new to sports betting or have been betting for years, the betting odds today shown for each match tell you where every price is best, so a winning bet always pays out as much as it can.
Our tennis odds page compares the prices on every match of the bookmakers not on gamstop day, next to past results and the odds they closed at. In tennis we follow the ATP and WTA tours every week, the Challenger and ITF events in between and the four Grand Slams, from the Australian Open to Wimbledon and the US Open. For beginners, our bet calculator shows the payout of a bet, for a single or an accumulator, in decimal, fractional or American odds.
Odds comparison, also known as line shopping, means checking the price of the same outcome at several bookmakers and taking the highest one. With results, standings, predictions and the best odds on the same site, you can check the top price before every bet. We also compare prices on boxing and MMA, where big fights are added as soon as bookmakers publish odds, on esports and on rugby union, rugby league, baseball, volleyball, Aussie rules and many more.
The value bets page compares the odds of each bookmaker with the average odds for the same outcome, highlighting the markets where one price stands out, with the probability included. OddsPortal has a number of betting tools that can bring your attention to interesting markets you may never have thought about betting on before, always with the best available price. The same price is 3/1 in fractional odds and +300 in American odds, which means a 100 bet wins 300 on top of the stake. This is a difficult task considering the huge teams of mathematicians that they employ.
